Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns. SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated every Week 8 game 10,000 times with surprising results Florida St at Louisville | Air Force at Wyoming Pick: Utah wins 34-14 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. It expects the Fighting Irish to win this game by double digits, as they are covering the spread in almost 60 percent of simulations. I agree to receive the "CBS Sports HQ Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. No. Maybe the Layne Hatcher-to-Ashtyn Hawkins connection will burn Baylor once or twice, but the Bobcats won't score enough to make this interesting. Last year against Power Five opponents, the Zips lost by 52 to Ohio State and by 50 to Auburn. The Cornhuskers also lost to Northwestern as 12.5-point favorites in Week 0, so the betting market has been way off on them multiple times this season. Nor does Toledo have to figure out how to stop the likes of C.J. OF COURSE YOU DON'T. However, until Iowa proves it can score, you keep riding this train until it stops. By, Nathan Papes/Springfield News-Leader/USA TODAY NETWORK, Barbara J. Perenic/Columbus Dispatch/USA TODAY NETWORK, Bryan Terry/The Oklahoman/USA TODAY NETWORK, Michael Longo/For USA Today Network/USA TODAY NETWORK, Jay Janner/Austin American-Statesman/USA TODAY NETWORK, This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google. So what college football picks can you make with confidence? Scott Steehn, WinnersandWhiners.com: Florida State The Tide will just be even more focused on not making mistakes against a team they were already going to pummel. Lines may move between. 4 Michigan vs. Connecticut, Noon on ABC. Kentucky rushed 64 times for 120 yards against Miami (Ohio) and Florida and ranks 127th in the nation in yards per carry. 25 Oregon, 3:30 p.m. on Fox. What was overshadowed, however, both by Notre Dame being knocked out of championship contention in September and by Texas A&Ms dreams arriving at deaths door before SEC play was the emergence of a sleeper with a realistic path to the playoff. 19 Wake Forest vs. Liberty, 5 p.m. on ACC Network. I'm more curious to find out if Texas A&M can solve its rushing woes against what has been an excellent front seven. Miami has allowed 20 points under Mario Cristobal through two games. The Aztecs wont replicate their triple-overtime upset of last year over the Utes, but Brady Hokes defense the best in the Mountain West last season remains strong enough to limit the damage. Despite last weekend's defeat, Baylor's defense has been pretty strong early on, especially while allowing just 170 yards against the run. Johnny Rosenstein, SportsBookWire.com: Louisville The Bulldogs had solid defensive numbers last season, but above-average offenses more or less had their way with them. There are still plenty. Devon Achane was great over the past two seasons as sort of the lightning to Isaiah Spiller's thunder, but can the sprinter handle the workload of a lead back? 25 Houston 33-30 in double-overtime at home. 12 BYU takes on No. And that could make for a close, ugly, low-scoring affair against a team that has fit that mold over the past four seasons. If it doesn't, it'll be because the running game was awful yet again. Scott Frost's firing at Nebraska adds to the intrigue in the Nebraska-Oklahoma matchup and the Purdue-Syracuse showdown is setting up as one of the more interesting games of the weekend from a . Consider this to be one of the more intriguing matchups of Week 3. The Bulldogs also yielded 323 rushing yards in that loss. Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 3college football oddsfrom Caesars and locked in picks for every FBS matchup. with code NPBONUS50, 21+. The Tigers are getting the big spread against the Bulldogs, who will air it out with new coach Sonny Cumbie. UCLA put up 37. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine. The Rebels scored 28 first-quarter points in their 59-3 win over Central Arkansas last week, matching their largest margin of victory since 2015. Kentucky got quite the scare from FCS program Chattanooga one year ago, eking out a 28-23 victory. But Hawaii has shown no signs of being able to stop anyone, as it's been outscored 168-37 by Vanderbilt, Western Kentucky and Michigan. MORE: Ranking Nebraska's 10 best candidates to replace Scott Frost. 16 Miami at No. 9 Baylor in double overtime. Maybe Kentucky really is a football school? The defense might be good, but the offense stinks out loud. The cumulative score was 366-36. Texas Tech beat then-No. This is the first meeting between the programs since Purdue's 51-0 rout in 2004. Notre Dame held a 10-7 lead at No. Georgia, Alabama, Ohio State, Michigan and Clemson are all favored by at least 25 points, according to the latest Week 3 college football odds at Caesars Sportsbook. 21 Texas vs. UTSA, 8 p.m. on Longhorn Network. But I suspect the big question for most people heading into this game in College Station is whether the second-year starter is ready for this moment against this secondary. 22 Auburn on Saturday night. Over the past two seasons, Jaren Hall has led the Cougars to wins over three ranked teams. Now, the Volunteers must avoid a letdown at home. It also enters Week 3 of the 2021 season on a 67-50 run on all top-rated college football picks. Now, he has turned his attention to the Week 3college football odds from Caesars and is sharing his top three best bets over at SportsLine. Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe. Prediction: Oklahoma State 59, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 6, No. 6 Oklahoma travels to Nebraska in the Big Noon Kickoff Game, and it will be interesting to see how the Huskers react after the firing of Scott Frost. These teams haven't played since the 2006 Las Vegas Bowl. 13 Miami at 9 p.m. 23 BYU (+3.5) has a chance to upset No. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Purdue is coming off a 49-0 blowout win at Connecticut, but the model has highlighted an overreaction in the betting market. The Georgia defense appears to be in a class of its own for a second consecutive season, though. There were four FCS-over-FBS upsets Saturday alone. Now, another serious test awaits. College Football Week 3 Lines, September 17. Quarterback Tyler Buchner had season-ending shoulder surgery, so Drew Pyne will start at quarterback for Notre Dame. 17 Baylor vs. Texas State, Noon on FS1. No one in the Associated Press Top Five bit the dust, but three Top 10 teams lost and five Top 20 teams lost at home. College football expert picks, predictions for Week 3, highlighted by Alabama at Florida, Auburn at Penn State, and Michigan State at Miami. These storied programs last met in 2007 and '08, with Miami winning both meetings. College football's Week 3 slate for the 2021 season features 73 games, and our NCAA experts are ready with their predictions and picks. 12 BYU hosts No. The Yellow Jackets are 4-10 ATS as a home underdog under Geoff Collins. Our data-devouring experts find you the best betting trends and a lot more to bring you expert NCAAF picks each week. Michigan State has also looked solid against the MAC's Western Michigan and Akron with the transfer tandem of Jalen Berger (Wisconsin) and Jarek Broussard (Colorado) filling Kenneth Walker III's shoes. USC transfer Michael Trigg tied a school record with three touchdown receptions from his tight end position. * next to the pick means the team will win, but not cover. This should be a fun one. And while LSU has Brian Kelly calling the shots now instead of Ed Orgeron, it bears noting that the Bayou Bengals have had a world of trouble against this offense. However, both could see time against UConn, which allowed 79 points in its two FBS losses to Utah State and Syracuse. See which other teams the model likes here. After coming up just short in double overtime at BYU, Baylor shouldn't need to work too hard to get this victory. 6-keys: media/spln/collegefootball/reg/free/stories, at Phil Harrison, BuckeyesWire.com: Florida State Then again, the Panthers haven't exactly been unstoppable thus far. 8 Oklahoma State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 7 p.m. on ESPN+/Big 12 Network. Cal comes into this game undefeated, despite struggling at home against UC Davis and UNLV. Cal, which last started 3-0 in 2019, yielded 27 points in beating UC Davis and UNLV. The Broncos, however, have allowed 65 points while losing by 22 to then-No. 15 . Dan Harralson, VolsWire.com: Louisville Is the Spartans secondary actually better than it was last season, though, or do its early numbers just look good because of the competition? Anthony Richardson was a role player in last year's 42-20 victory against the Bulls. It created an extraordinary weekend and provided more evidence of the potential of an expanded playoff, but the thrill of such unexpected outcomes has unintended consequences. Prediction: Washington 31, Michigan State 27, No. Pick: Alabama wins 59-9 and COVERS the spread. South Carolina does have something fun brewing with Spencer Rattler at quarterback. 8 Notre Dame? not even the tide. 10 Arkansas vs. Missouri State, 7 p.m. on ESPN+. Take the value in the Trojans. So Year 1 under Sonny Cumbie could be one of the worst in Bulldogs history. Another one of the college football predictions from the model: No. Arizona is the first FBS foe to dare face mighty NDSU since the Bison upset No. For the second straight week the Battlehawks scored late to edge out a victory, but they head to DC catching 2-poins on the XFL betting line at BetRivers sportsbook . After last year's close call against Florida, the Crimson Tide pummeled Southern Mississippi by 49. Under first-year head coach Joey McGuire, the Red Raiders have gotten back to what they used to do best: throw, throw and throw some more. He led a late touchdown drive against Marshall last week, but it was not enough in the 26-21 setback. 21 BYU. Mike Leach's air raid offense is already firing on all cylinders, with Will Rogers racking up 763 yards and nine touchdowns against Memphis and Arizona. Led by quarterback Garrett Shrader (524 passing yards, five touchdowns), the Orange have totaled 79 points in beating Louisville and UConn. The Cornhuskers fired Scott Frost because they were fed up with watching him lose close games. If any of these games involving Top Five teams is going to be interesting, it's this one. So what are Week 3's top candidates, you might wonder? The Panthers quarterback suffered an injury late in the first half against Tennessee and did not return. One of the college picks the model is high on in Week 3: The Notre Dame Fighting Irish cover the 12-point spread against the Cal Golden Bears at home in a 2:30 p.m. But after it allowed Cincinnati and South Carolina to throw for a combined 702 yards, I will say: Watch out for Jason Shelley. Auburn comes in with two impressive wins over inferior opponents in new Coach Brian Harsin's . No. A three-point loss at Notre Dame last year showcased the Rockets potential. However, that's almost secondary toBobby Petrino's return to Arkansas, where he was fired following a motorcycle accident that opened the door to more controversy 10 years ago. Mississippi State scores at least four touchdowns, and LSU can't keep pace. And after Fresno State allowed just under 400 yards to the Beavers, this looks like business as usual. Bill Bender is a national college football writer for The Sporting News. Expert picks, predictions for Penn State vs. Auburn on the Week 3 college football schedule. Unless otherwise noted, games are scheduled for Saturday. section: | slug: college-football-odds-lines-picks-predictions-for-week-3-2021-simulations-back-notre-dame-cincinnati | sport: collegefootball | route: article_single.us | Tyler Van Dyke has completed 73.3 percent of his passes through two games, and that efficiency travels. No. Click on each game for the game preview and CFN Prediction, Eric Bolin, RazorbacksWire.com: Florida State Despite all that (and the road trip), the Panthers get back on track with a victory. ET on Saturday. If Kansas has figured something out on offense and it hasn't just been a two-week fluke, it will be able to move the ball. College Football Week 3 Lines . Unless Braxton Burmeister has been saving the game of his life for just this moment, Utah should cruise. However, I like the Cougars to capitalize on the Jayhawks' not-great defense for just a few more points in what may well be the highest-scoring affair of the week. As of Wednesday, Pitt coach Pat Narduzzi had not named a starting quarterback to lead the Panthers' attempt to bounce back from last weekend's overtime home loss to Tennessee. Meanwhile, Texas A&M managed just 186 total yards during last week's stunning 17-14 upset loss at the hands of Appalachian State. Throw in the fact that UTSA nearly knocked off then-No. Who picked Appalachian State to win at No. And not one of those games was against a Top 25 opponent. That likely doesn't bode well for the Gamecocks, who have lost three straight home games in this series, and will be without defensive starters linebackers Jordan Strachan and Mo Kaba, who each suffered a season-ending ACL injury last week. One year ago in State College, this game was awesome. With the quarterback-wide receiver duo of Kaleb Eleby and Skyy Moore no longer at their disposal, the Broncos haven't looked as potent on offense. USC transfer Jaxson Dart started Mississippi's opener, and sophomore Luke Altmyer got the call against Central Arkansas last weekend. This spread continues to swell, and the Utes will be out for revenge after losing 33-31 to the Aztecs last season. Week 2 of the 2022 college football season was about as chaotic as it can get without impacting the omnipresent College Football Playoff forecast. He debuted with SportsLine in 2017 and has delivered in a big way on his college football picks. All rights reserved. Texas State had 25 carries for one yard in its season opener against Nevada, and it is already evident that the Bears have a solid front seven. No. Kansas can record its first 3-0 start to a season since 2009 if it pulls off an upset at Houston on Saturday afternoon during the Week 3 college football schedule. Oklahoma is facing its first real test of the season after blowing out UTEP and Kent State in its first two games. 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